Model value
Cincinnati BengalsModel pick
60%
Model estimate
58%Market implied
Baltimore Ravens
40%
Model estimate
42%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-114BetRiversThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 53%
MarketAt lock: 51%
Model pick: Cincinnati Bengals (Toss-up). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.4%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
CIN 35 - BAL 13
Units
+0.88u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
+9.7%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.88u is +$8.77 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at -114 (BetRivers), model 53%, market 51%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 58.4% for the pick.
| Saved | Cincinnati Bengals best odds | Baltimore Ravens best odds | Model (Baltimore Ravens) | Market (Baltimore Ravens) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -148 | +136 | 40% | 42% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: BAL 1557 vs CIN 1526 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: CIN has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: BAL +3.2, CIN +3.2.
- Model estimate: BAL 40% / CIN 60%. Market (vig removed): BAL 42% / CIN 58%.
- Injury report: BAL QB Lamar Jackson is listed Out. Not yet in the model's number.
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens +3 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Joe Burrow (CIN) vs Tyler Huntley (BAL). Source data may be out of date.
- Ravens vs. Bengals: How to Watch AFC North Showdown with Big Playoff Implications
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.