Model value
Cleveland BrownsValue pick
56%
Model estimate
55%Market implied
Tennessee Titans
44%
Model estimate
45%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-118FanDuelThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 20, 2026, 10:19 PM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 55%
MarketAt lock: 53%
Value pick: Cleveland Browns. Estimated value +2.4% at the locked price (value bar: +2%).
Saved Oct 20, 2026, 10:19 PM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
CLE 27 - TEN 24
Units
+0.85u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
+1.1%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.85u is +$8.47 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 20, 2026, 10:19 PM ET: pick locked at -118 (FanDuel), model 55%, market 53%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 10): market-implied 54.7% for the pick.
| Saved | Cleveland Browns best odds | Tennessee Titans best odds | Model (Tennessee Titans) | Market (Tennessee Titans) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -125 | +117 | 44% | 45% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: TEN 1325 vs CLE 1459 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: TEN -7.0, CLE +1.0.
- Model estimate: TEN 44% / CLE 56%. Market (vig removed): TEN 45% / CLE 55%.
- Injury report: CLE QB Dillon Gabriel is listed Out. Not yet in the model's number.
- CLE at -118 has an estimated value of +2.4%, above the minimum bar for a pick.
- Spread: Tennessee Titans +2.5 · Total 36.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Deshaun Watson (CLE) vs Cam Ward (TEN). Source data may be out of date.
- Browns vs. Titans: How to Watch, Listen & Live Stream
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.