Model value
The pick
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Dallas Cowboys (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.5%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at -205 (DraftKings), model 67%, market 66%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 7): market-implied 66.4% for the pick.
| Saved | Dallas Cowboys best odds | Philadelphia Eagles best odds | Model (Philadelphia Eagles) | Market (Philadelphia Eagles) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -205 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:43 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:59 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:12 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:19 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -218 | +190 | 33% | 34% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Cowboys-Eagles: How to Watch, Listen, Stream in Week 7 · Dallas Cowboys | Official Site of the Dallas Cowboys, Oct 24, 2026
Cowboys vs. Eagles Injury Report · Philadelphia Eagles, Oct 24, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: PHI 1486 vs DAL 1432 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: PHI -9.2, DAL -4.2.
- Model estimate: PHI 33% / DAL 67%. Market (vig removed): PHI 34% / DAL 66%.
- Spread: Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 · Total 43.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Dak Prescott (DAL) vs Jalen Hurts (PHI). Source data may be out of date.
- Injury report, DAL: KaVontae Turpin (WR, Out); Dee Winters (LB, Out); Drew Shelton (T, Out); P.J. Locke (S, Questionable); Marist Liufau (LB, Questionable).
- Injury report, PHI: Michael Carter II (CB, Out); DeVonta Smith (WR, Out); Dontayvion Wicks (WR, Out); Nolan Smith (LB, Out); Saquon Barkley (RB, Questionable); Jonathan Greenard (LB, Questionable); Landon Dickerson (G, Questionable); Grant Calcaterra (TE, Questionable).
- How to Watch Cowboys vs. Eagles: TV Channel, Live Stream, Time - October 26, 2026
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.