Model value
The pick
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Denver Broncos (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is +0.6%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at -220 (BetUS), model 69%, market 67%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 66.8% for the pick.
| Saved | Denver Broncos best odds | Arizona Cardinals best odds | Model (Arizona Cardinals) | Market (Arizona Cardinals) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -220 | +195 | 31% | 33% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals: How to Watch, Listen and Live Stream the Broncos' Week 7 Game · Denver Broncos, Oct 23, 2026
How to Watch: Arizona Cardinals vs. Denver Broncos · Yahoo Sports, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: ARI 1393 vs DEN 1613 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: DEN has 3 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: ARI -10.0, DEN +0.8.
- Model estimate: ARI 17% / DEN 83%. Market (vig removed): ARI 19% / DEN 81%.
- Spread: Arizona Cardinals +4.5 · Total 44.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Bo Nix (DEN) vs Jacoby Brissett (ARI). Source data may be out of date.
- Injury report, DEN: Talanoa Hufanga (S, Out); Tyler Badie (RB, Out); Jonah Elliss (LB, Out); Pat Surtain II (CB, Questionable); Jonah Coleman (RB, Questionable).
- Injury report, ARI: Andrew Wingard (S, Out); Jon Gaines II (G, Out); Walter Nolen (DT, Out); Jeremiyah Love (RB, Out); Carson Beck (QB, Questionable); Budda Baker (S, Questionable); Max Melton (CB, Questionable); Darius Robinson (DT, Questionable).
- NFL Picks: Who the Experts Predict to Win in the Broncos-Cardinals Game
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.