Model value
The pick
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Green Bay Packers (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is +0.5%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at +165 (BetOnline.ag), model 38%, market 38%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 37.2% for the pick.
| Saved | Green Bay Packers best odds | Detroit Lions best odds | Model (Detroit Lions) | Market (Detroit Lions) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +167 | -180 | 63% | 63% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Lions vs. Packers: How to Watch, Listen and Follow · Detroit Lions, Oct 24, 2026
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: How to Watch the NFL Week 7 Game, Channel, Streaming Info and More · Yahoo Sports, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: DET 1554 vs GB 1537 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: DET has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: DET +3.8, GB +4.0.
- Model estimate: DET 72% / GB 28%. Market (vig removed): DET 72% / GB 28%.
- Spread: Detroit Lions -3.5 · Total 55.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Jordan Love (GB) vs Jared Goff (DET). Source data may be out of date.
- Injury report, GB: Zaire Franklin (LB, Out); Aaron Banks (G, Questionable); Benjamin St-Juste (CB, Questionable); Bo Melton (WR, Questionable); Jordon Riley (DT, Questionable).
- Injury report, DET: Cade Mays (C, Questionable); Brian Branch (S, Questionable).
- Packers vs. Lions | How to Watch, Stream & Listen | Week 7
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.