Model value
Indianapolis Colts
25%
Model estimate
27%Market implied
Minnesota VikingsModel pick
75%
Model estimate
73%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-280BetUSThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 73%
MarketAt lock: 71%
Model pick: Minnesota Vikings (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.5%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
IND 10 - MIN 16
Units
+0.36u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
-0.4%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.36u is +$3.57 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at -280 (BetUS), model 73%, market 71%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 73.4% for the pick.
| Saved | Indianapolis Colts best odds | Minnesota Vikings best odds | Model (Minnesota Vikings) | Market (Minnesota Vikings) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +270 | -315 | 75% | 73% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: MIN 1630 vs IND 1425 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: MIN has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: MIN +7.0, IND +0.2.
- Model estimate: MIN 75% / IND 25%. Market (vig removed): MIN 73% / IND 27%.
- Spread: Minnesota Vikings -7 · Total 41.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Daniel Jones (IND) vs Kyler Murray (MIN). Source data may be out of date.
- How to Watch, Listen to & Stream Vikings vs. Colts in 2026 Week 7 Game
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.