Model value
The pick
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Kansas City Chiefs (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.2%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at +126 (BetOnline.ag), model 43%, market 43%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 9): market-implied 41.8% for the pick.
| Saved | Kansas City Chiefs best odds | Seattle Seahawks best odds | Model (Seattle Seahawks) | Market (Seattle Seahawks) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +135 | -143 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:43 PM ET | +135 | -146 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:59 PM ET | +135 | -148 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +135 | -148 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:12 PM ET | +135 | -148 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:19 PM ET | +135 | -148 | 58% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +135 | -148 | 58% | 58% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks: How, When, and Where to Watch NFL Week 7? · Kansas City Chiefs, Oct 23, 2026
Picks and Predictions for Week 7 vs. Kansas City Chiefs · Seattle Seahawks, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: SEA 1652 vs KC 1583 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: SEA has 3 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: SEA -0.2, KC +9.0.
- Model estimate: SEA 58% / KC 42%. Market (vig removed): SEA 58% / KC 42%.
- Spread: Seattle Seahawks -3 · Total 42.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes (KC) vs Sam Darnold (SEA). Source data may be out of date.
- Injury report, KC: Jaylon Moore (T, Out); Rashee Rice (WR, Out); Brashard Smith (RB, Out); L'Jarius Sneed (CB, Questionable); Cooper McDonald (LB, Questionable).
- Injury report, SEA: Chazz Surratt (LB, Out); Drake Thomas (LB, Out); Zach Charbonnet (RB, Out); Drew Lock (QB, Questionable); DeMarcus Lawrence (LB, Questionable); Uchenna Nwosu (LB, Questionable); Connor O'Toole (LB, Questionable); Nick Emmanwori (S, Questionable).
- Sunday Night Football: How to Watch the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks Game Tonight
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.