Model value
The pick
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Los Angeles Rams (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.7%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 24, 2026, 10:40 AM ET: pick locked at -174 (FanDuel), model 63%, market 61%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 3): market-implied 61.5% for the pick.
| Saved | Los Angeles Rams best odds | Las Vegas Raiders best odds | Model (Las Vegas Raiders) | Market (Las Vegas Raiders) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -168 | +156 | 37% | 39% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
How to Watch, Listen to and Livestream Raiders vs. Rams · Raiders.com, Oct 25, 2026
What Happened to Los Angeles Rams’ ‘Super Team’ Ahead of Week 7 Las Vegas Raiders Matchup? · Silver And Black Pride, Oct 23, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: LV 1421 vs LA 1559 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: LV -6.5, LA -1.2.
- Model estimate: LV 3% / LA 97%. Market (vig removed): LV 3% / LA 97%.
- Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Matthew Stafford (LA) vs Kirk Cousins (LV). Source data may be out of date.
- Injury report, LA: Nate Landman (LB, Out); Trent McDuffie (CB, Questionable); Puka Nacua (WR, Questionable).
- Injury report, LV: Carter Runyon (TE, Out); Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR, Out); Quay Walker (LB, Questionable); Mike Washington Jr. (RB, Questionable).
- Rams and Raiders to Battle in High-stakes Showdown in Vegas | Game Preview
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.