Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model pick: Buffalo Bills (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.7%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Baltimore Ravens best odds | Buffalo Bills best odds | Model (Buffalo Bills) | Market (Buffalo Bills) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +155 | -177 | 63% | 62% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Buffalo Bills Open as Slight Favorites Over Baltimore Ravens in Week 8 · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026
Ravens vs Bills Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 8 Game Sunday · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: BUF 1653 vs BAL 1517 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: BUF has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: BUF +2.8, BAL -3.0.
- Model estimate: BUF 63% / BAL 37%. Market (vig removed): BUF 62% / BAL 38%.
- Spread: Buffalo Bills -3.5 · Total 53.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Tyler Huntley (BAL) vs Josh Allen (BUF). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Do the Bills Play Today? See Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Latest Ticket Prices
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.