Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.3%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Indianapolis Colts best odds | Jacksonville Jaguars best odds | Model (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Market (Jacksonville Jaguars) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +330 | -390 | 78% | 77% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Jaguars vs. Colts Odds: Opening Lines for Week 8 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026
Colts vs Jaguars Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 8 Game Sunday · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: JAX 1608 vs IND 1419 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: JAX has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: JAX +8.2, IND -1.8.
- Model estimate: JAX 78% / IND 22%. Market (vig removed): JAX 77% / IND 23%.
- Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Daniel Jones (IND) vs Trevor Lawrence (JAX). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.