Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model pick: Las Vegas Raiders (Toss-up). At the current price the estimated value is -0.3%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Las Vegas Raiders best odds | New York Jets best odds | Model (New York Jets) | Market (New York Jets) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -107 | -103 | 48% | 50% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Raiders vs Jets Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 8 Game Sunday · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Oct 26, 2026
New York Jets vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds: Opening Lines for Week 8 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: NYJ 1365 vs LV 1401 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: NYJ -4.0, LV -12.0.
- Model estimate: NYJ 48% / LV 52%. Market (vig removed): NYJ 50% / LV 50%.
- Spread: New York Jets -1.5 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Kirk Cousins (LV) vs Geno Smith (NYJ). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets Odds
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.