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NFL · Week 8 · Nov 1, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

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Model value

Minnesota VikingsValue pick
40%
Model estimate
39%Market implied
Detroit LionsLikelier to win
60%
Model estimate
61%Market implied

The pick

Pick locked at+158LowVig.agThis price grades the pick
Live odds+158LowVig.agSame as locked

Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 40% · At lock: 40%
MarketNow: 39% · At lock: 39%

Value pick: Minnesota Vikings. Estimated value +3.3% at the locked price (value bar: +2%).

Saved Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

  • Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at +158 (LowVig.ag), model 40%, market 39%.
SavedMinnesota Vikings best oddsDetroit Lions best oddsModel (Detroit Lions)Market (Detroit Lions)
Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+158-16260%61%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Latest news

The Official Site of the Minnesota Vikings · Minnesota Vikings, Oct 26, 2026

Lions vs. Vikings Odds: Opening Lines for Week 8 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: DET 1565 vs MIN 1637 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: DET +7.0, MIN +7.0.
  • Model estimate: DET 60% / MIN 40%. Market (vig removed): DET 61% / MIN 39%.
  • MIN at +158 has an estimated value of +3.3%, above the minimum bar for a pick.
  • Spread: Detroit Lions -3 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Listed quarterbacks: Kyler Murray (MIN) vs Jared Goff (DET). Source data may be out of date.
  • No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
  • Vikings vs Lions Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 8 Game Sunday
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.