Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model pick: New England Patriots (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.2%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | New England Patriots best odds | Miami Dolphins best odds | Model (Miami Dolphins) | Market (Miami Dolphins) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -355 | +325 | 22% | 24% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
How to Watch Patriots vs. Dolphins in Week 8: Time, Channel, Stream and More · NBC Boston, Oct 26, 2026
Patriots vs Dolphins Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 8 Game · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: MIA 1390 vs NE 1598 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: NE has 3 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: MIA -5.8, NE +8.0.
- Model estimate: MIA 22% / NE 78%. Market (vig removed): MIA 24% / NE 76%.
- Spread: Miami Dolphins +7.5 · Total 44.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Drake Maye (NE) vs Malik Willis (MIA). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Ryan Miller Lands Patriots Role After Miami Cut
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.