Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model pick: Philadelphia Eagles (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -1.5%, below the +2% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Philadelphia Eagles best odds | Washington Commanders best odds | Model (Washington Commanders) | Market (Washington Commanders) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +172 | -200 | 64% | 64% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
NFC East Makes History with Back-to-back Winless Weeks · NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth, Oct 21, 2026
NFC East Roundup | the Division Struggled but Remains Wide Open · Washington Commanders, Oct 22, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: WAS 1415 vs PHI 1447 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: WAS has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: WAS -5.2, PHI -8.5.
- Model estimate: WAS 64% / PHI 36%. Market (vig removed): WAS 64% / PHI 36%.
- Spread: Washington Commanders -4.5 · Total 40.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Jalen Hurts (PHI) vs Jayden Daniels (WAS). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Eagles 24-22 Commanders (13 Sep, 2026) Final Score
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.