Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Dallas Cowboys (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.3%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Dallas Cowboys best odds | Indianapolis Colts best odds | Model (Indianapolis Colts) | Market (Indianapolis Colts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -250 | +225 | 29% | 31% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -250 | +225 | 29% | 31% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -243 | +225 | 30% | 31% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -243 | +235 | 29% | 31% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
How to Watch the Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts on November 8, 2026 · Colts.com, Nov 3, 2026
5 Things to Know About the Indianapolis Colts Ahead of Week 9 Matchup with Dallas Cowboys · Dallas News, Nov 3, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: IND 1405 vs DAL 1451 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: IND -14.8, DAL -1.0.
- Model alone: IND 44% / DAL 56%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): IND 29% / DAL 71%. Market (vig removed): IND 31% / DAL 69%.
- Spread: Indianapolis Colts +6 · Total 51.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Dak Prescott (DAL) vs Daniel Jones (IND). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Cowboys vs Colts Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 9 Game Sunday
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.