Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Denver Broncos (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +1.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Denver Broncos best odds | Carolina Panthers best odds | Model (Carolina Panthers) | Market (Carolina Panthers) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -148 | +135 | 40% | 42% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -142 | +135 | 40% | 42% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -142 | +135 | 40% | 42% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -148 | +132 | 40% | 42% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Know Your Foe: Week 9, Denver Broncos · Panthers.com, Nov 3, 2026
Broncos vs Panthers Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 9 Game · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Nov 2, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: CAR 1437 vs DEN 1637 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: CAR has 3 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: CAR -5.2, DEN +6.8.
- Model alone: CAR 34% / DEN 66%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): CAR 40% / DEN 60%. Market (vig removed): CAR 42% / DEN 58%.
- Spread: Carolina Panthers +2.5 · Total 43.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Bo Nix (DEN) vs Bryce Young (CAR). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Broncos vs. Panthers Odds: Opening Lines for Week 9 Matchup
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.