Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Detroit Lions (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is +0.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Detroit Lions best odds | Miami Dolphins best odds | Model (Miami Dolphins) | Market (Miami Dolphins) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -310 | +280 | 24% | 26% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -310 | +280 | 24% | 26% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -318 | +295 | 24% | 26% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -310 | +290 | 24% | 26% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Miami Dolphins Discussion: Week 9 Game vs Detroit Lions Predictions Edition · Yahoo Sports, Nov 4, 2026
Lions vs Dolphins Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 9 Game Sunday · azcentral.com and The Arizona Republic, Nov 2, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: MIA 1380 vs DET 1582 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: MIA -3.5, DET +6.2.
- Model alone: MIA 28% / DET 72%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): MIA 24% / DET 76%. Market (vig removed): MIA 26% / DET 74%.
- Spread: Miami Dolphins +7 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Jared Goff (DET) vs Malik Willis (MIA). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- How to Watch the Detroit Lions vs. Miami Dolphins This Week
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.