Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Jacksonville Jaguars (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.5%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Jacksonville Jaguars best odds | Baltimore Ravens best odds | Model (Baltimore Ravens) | Market (Baltimore Ravens) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -460 | +385 | 19% | 21% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -460 | +385 | 19% | 21% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -500 | +422 | 18% | 19% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -500 | +415 | 18% | 19% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
How to Watch, Listen, Live Stream Ravens vs. Jaguars, Week 9 · Baltimore Ravens, Nov 3, 2026
Ravens to Start Undrafted Rookie QB Joe Fagnano vs. Jaguars on Thursday · NFL.com, Nov 3, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: BAL 1502 vs JAX 1621 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: BAL -11.0, JAX +9.8.
- Model alone: BAL 36% / JAX 64%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): BAL 18% / JAX 82%. Market (vig removed): BAL 19% / JAX 81%.
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens +10 · Total 40.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) vs Tyler Huntley (BAL). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Ravens vs Jaguars Odds, Expert Picks, Team and Player News, Betting Trends, and Stats
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.