Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: San Francisco 49ers (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Las Vegas Raiders best odds | San Francisco 49ers best odds | Model (San Francisco 49ers) | Market (San Francisco 49ers) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +440 | -460 | 81% | 80% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +430 | -460 | 81% | 80% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +410 | -460 | 81% | 80% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +398 | -460 | 81% | 80% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Raiders vs. 49Ers Odds: Opening Lines for Week 9 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Nov 2, 2026
Watch Raiders vs 49Ers Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Nov 8, 2026 · FOX One, Oct 30, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: SF 1624 vs LV 1420 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: SF has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: SF +2.5, LV -10.0.
- Model alone: SF 81% / LV 19%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): SF 81% / LV 19%. Market (vig removed): SF 80% / LV 20%.
- Spread: San Francisco 49ers -10 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Kirk Cousins (LV) vs Brock Purdy (SF). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Raiders vs 49Ers Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 9 Game Sunday
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.