Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: New York Giants (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +1.7%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | New York Giants best odds | Philadelphia Eagles best odds | Model (Philadelphia Eagles) | Market (Philadelphia Eagles) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -159 | +158 | 37% | 39% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -165 | +160 | 37% | 39% |
| Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -165 | +158 | 37% | 38% |
| Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -165 | +158 | 37% | 39% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Week 9 Tracker: Latest News, Notes & Roster Moves · Giants.com, Nov 3, 2026
Giants vs. Eagles Odds: Opening Lines for Week 9 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Nov 2, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: PHI 1420 vs NYG 1464 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: NYG has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: PHI -11.8, NYG +2.8.
- Model alone: PHI 39% / NYG 61%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): PHI 37% / NYG 63%. Market (vig removed): PHI 39% / NYG 61%.
- Spread: Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 · Total 39.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: J.J. McCarthy (NYG) vs Tanner McKee (PHI). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Giants vs Eagles Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 9 Game Sunday
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.