Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Houston Texans (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -0.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Houston Texans best odds | Cleveland Browns best odds | Model (Cleveland Browns) | Market (Cleveland Browns) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -225 | +195 | 31% | 33% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -225 | +195 | 31% | 33% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | -225 | +195 | 31% | 33% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -225 | +195 | 31% | 33% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns: Live Game Updates, Stats, Play-by-play · Yahoo Sports, Nov 13, 2026
Cleveland Browns Quarterback Deshaun Watson on Starting Week 10 vs. Houston Texans · NFL.com, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: CLE 1444 vs HOU 1541 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: CLE -4.0, HOU +10.5.
- Model alone: CLE 37% / HOU 63%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): CLE 31% / HOU 69%. Market (vig removed): CLE 33% / HOU 67%.
- Spread: Cleveland Browns +4.5 · Total 40.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: C.J. Stroud (HOU) vs Deshaun Watson (CLE). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Browns vs Texans Predictions, Picks, Odds for NFL Week 10 Game Sunday
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.