Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Jacksonville Jaguars (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is +0.3%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Jacksonville Jaguars best odds | Tennessee Titans best odds | Model (Tennessee Titans) | Market (Tennessee Titans) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -500 | +450 | 16% | 19% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -500 | +480 | 16% | 18% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | -550 | +500 | 15% | 18% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -550 | +500 | 15% | 18% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Where to Watch: Jaguars vs. Titans, Week 10 of 2026 NFL Season · Jacksonville Jaguars, Nov 11, 2026
Week 10 Injury Report | Titans vs Jaguars · Tennessee Titans, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: TEN 1309 vs JAX 1645 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: TEN has 4 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: TEN -6.8, JAX +14.2.
- Model alone: TEN 18% / JAX 82%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): TEN 15% / JAX 85%. Market (vig removed): TEN 18% / JAX 82%.
- Spread: Tennessee Titans +10.5 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) vs Cam Ward (TEN). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Jaguars vs. Titans Odds: Opening Lines for NFL Week 10 Matchup
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.