Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Los Angeles Rams (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.5%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Los Angeles Rams best odds | Arizona Cardinals best odds | Model (Arizona Cardinals) | Market (Arizona Cardinals) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -440 | +370 | 19% | 21% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -450 | +370 | 19% | 21% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | -450 | +410 | 19% | 21% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -450 | +400 | 19% | 21% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals: How to Watch, Listen to and Live Stream Week 10 · Rams, Nov 11, 2026
Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals Preview | Week 10 · NFL.com, Nov 11, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: ARI 1392 vs LA 1604 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: ARI -5.8, LA +8.5.
- Model alone: ARI 27% / LA 73%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): ARI 19% / LA 81%. Market (vig removed): ARI 21% / LA 79%.
- Spread: Arizona Cardinals +9.5 · Total 39.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Matthew Stafford (LA) vs Gardner Minshew (ARI). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- How to Watch: Cardinals vs. Rams, Week 10
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.