Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Pittsburgh Steelers (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is +0.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Pittsburgh Steelers best odds | Cincinnati Bengals best odds | Model (Cincinnati Bengals) | Market (Cincinnati Bengals) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +170 | -180 | 62% | 63% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +170 | -175 | 62% | 63% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | +161 | -180 | 62% | 63% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +161 | -180 | 62% | 63% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Scouting Report Week 10: White Bengal Returns for Sunday Night Football Against Steelers · Cincinnati Bengals, Nov 10, 2026
Bucky Brooks Previews Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals | 'the NFL Report' · NFL.com, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: CIN 1590 vs PIT 1576 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: PIT has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: CIN +13.2, PIT +11.5.
- Model alone: CIN 54% / PIT 46%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): CIN 62% / PIT 38%. Market (vig removed): CIN 63% / PIT 37%.
- Spread: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Aaron Rodgers (PIT) vs Joe Burrow (CIN). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction, Odds, Pick for Week 10 Sunday Night Football
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.