Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Seattle Seahawks (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Seattle Seahawks best odds | Las Vegas Raiders best odds | Model (Las Vegas Raiders) | Market (Las Vegas Raiders) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -172 | +160 | 35% | 38% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -178 | +165 | 35% | 38% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | -285 | +250 | 26% | 29% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -285 | +250 | 26% | 28% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
How to Watch, Listen and Follow Seahawks at Raiders in Week 10 on Sunday, November 15 · Seattle Seahawks, Nov 10, 2026
How to Watch, Listen to and Livestream Raiders vs. Seahawks · Raiders.com, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: LV 1409 vs SEA 1636 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: LV -8.2, SEA +2.8.
- Model alone: LV 29% / SEA 71%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): LV 26% / SEA 74%. Market (vig removed): LV 28% / SEA 72%.
- Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +6.5 · Total 40.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Sam Darnold (SEA) vs Fernando Mendoza (LV). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Seattle Seahawks vs. Las Vegas Raiders Preview | Week 10
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.