Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: San Francisco 49ers (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +0.5%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | San Francisco 49ers best odds | Dallas Cowboys best odds | Model (Dallas Cowboys) | Market (Dallas Cowboys) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -205 | +183 | 32% | 35% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -210 | +183 | 32% | 34% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:12 PM ET | -205 | +185 | 32% | 35% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -205 | +185 | 32% | 35% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
San Francisco 49Ers vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 10 Preview | NFL Daily · NFL.com, Nov 12, 2026
Cowboys vs. 49Ers Odds: Opening Lines for Week 10 Matchup · Yahoo Sports, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: DAL 1467 vs SF 1635 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: DAL +2.0, SF +5.2.
- Model alone: DAL 34% / SF 66%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): DAL 32% / SF 68%. Market (vig removed): DAL 35% / SF 65%.
- Spread: Dallas Cowboys +3.5 · Total 55.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Brock Purdy (SF) vs Dak Prescott (DAL). Source data may be out of date.
- No players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable on the latest official report (it may not be posted yet).
- Ways to Watch and Listen: 49Ers vs. Cowboys | Week 10
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.