Model value
Washington Commanders
45%
Final estimate
45%Market implied
New York GiantsLikelier to win
55%
Final estimate
55%Market implied
The pick
No pick was saved before this game started.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Washington Commanders best odds | New York Giants best odds | Model (New York Giants) | Market (New York Giants) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +115 | -125 | 55% | 55% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +115 | -127 | 55% | 55% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: NYG 1486 vs WAS 1428 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: NYG +1.8, WAS +1.0.
- Model alone: NYG 66% / WAS 34%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): NYG 54% / WAS 46%. Market (vig removed): NYG 54% / WAS 46%.
- Spread: New York Giants -1.5 · Total 40.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Listed quarterbacks: Jayden Daniels (WAS) vs J.J. McCarthy (NYG). Source data may be out of date.
- NFC East Roundup | Some Movement in the Division
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for NFL: +2% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.