Model value
Vanderbilt
20%
Model estimate
22%Market implied
KentuckyModel pick
80%
Model estimate
78%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-440DraftKingsThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 80%
MarketAt lock: 78%
Model pick: Kentucky (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.8%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
Vanderbilt 17 - Kentucky 34
Units
+0.23u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
-4.1%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.23u is +$2.27 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at -440 (DraftKings), model 80%, market 78%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 5): market-implied 78.2% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.