Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Texas (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.4%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Mississippi State best odds | Texas best odds | Model (Texas) | Market (Texas) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
How to Watch Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State: TV Channel, Live Stream, Time - October 24, 2026 · FOX Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Oklahoma vs Mississippi State Prediction: Will the Real Sooners Please Stand Up? · College Football News, Oct 24, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Texas 1676 vs Mississippi State 1485 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Texas +1.0, Mississippi State -16.2.
- Model estimate: Texas 91% / Mississippi State 9%. Market (vig removed): Texas 90% / Mississippi State 10%.
- Spread: Texas -21 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Texas Opens as Heavy Favorite Against Mississippi State
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.