Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Auburn (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Arkansas best odds | Auburn best odds | Model (Auburn) | Market (Auburn) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +330 | -430 | 80% | 78% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Auburn, Arkansas Game Time and TV Slot Announced · Sports Illustrated, Oct 26, 2026
Start Time, TV Network for Auburn Football's Week 10 Game vs. Arkansas Revealed · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Auburn 1487 vs Arkansas 1429 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Auburn -14.5, Arkansas -12.0.
- Model alone: Auburn 63% / Arkansas 37%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Auburn 80% / Arkansas 20%. Market (vig removed): Auburn 78% / Arkansas 22%.
- Auburn Football Gets Morning Kickoff for Arkansas Matchup: Time, TV
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.