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College football · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Oklahoma at Florida

Upcoming

Model value

Oklahoma
33%
Final estimate
35%Market implied
FloridaModel lean
67%
Final estimate
65%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-205DraftKingsBest of books. A typical single book: -215

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 67%
MarketNow: 65%

Model lean: Florida (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -0.9%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedOklahoma best oddsFlorida best oddsModel (Florida)Market (Florida)
Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+176-20567%65%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Florida 1517 vs Oklahoma 1545 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Florida -15.8, Oklahoma -3.5.
  • Model alone: Florida 56% / Oklahoma 44%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Florida 67% / Oklahoma 33%. Market (vig removed): Florida 65% / Oklahoma 35%.
  • Spread: Florida -5.5 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Florida Football to Induct Urban Meyer to ROH Under Lights vs Oklahoma
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.