Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: LSU (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.5%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Alabama best odds | LSU best odds | Model (LSU) | Market (LSU) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +150 | -175 | 63% | 61% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Lane Kiffin Wants to Know Why LSU-Alabama Kickoff Isn't Scheduled for Prime Time · Yahoo Sports, Oct 28, 2026
Lane Kiffin Calls Conspiracy on SEC for LSU-Alabama. Here's Why · USA Today, Oct 28, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: LSU 1656 vs Alabama 1682 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: LSU +20.0, Alabama +6.2.
- Model alone: LSU 61% / Alabama 39%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): LSU 63% / Alabama 37%. Market (vig removed): LSU 61% / Alabama 39%.
- Spread: LSU -4.5 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- LSU Fans Furious Over Alabama Kickoff Time as SEC Rivalry Loses Night Game
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.