Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Mississippi State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -2.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Vanderbilt best odds | Mississippi State best odds | Model (Mississippi State) | Market (Mississippi State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +126 | -150 | 59% | 58% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Mississippi State Football vs Vanderbilt Start Time, TV Channel Announced for Week 10 Game · The Clarion-Ledger, Oct 26, 2026
Vanderbilt Football Finds Out Game Time for Mississippi State · Sports Illustrated, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Mississippi State 1473 vs Vanderbilt 1477 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: Vanderbilt has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Mississippi State -25.0, Vanderbilt -21.5.
- Model alone: Mississippi State 66% / Vanderbilt 34%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Mississippi State 59% / Vanderbilt 41%. Market (vig removed): Mississippi State 58% / Vanderbilt 42%.
- MSU Announces 2026 Homecoming Court
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.