Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Texas (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Texas best odds | Missouri best odds | Model (Missouri) | Market (Missouri) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -162 | +150 | 39% | 39% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Mizzou Drops in Latest AP Top 25 College Football Poll · KY3, Oct 25, 2026
College Football TV Schedule and Times · NCAA.com, Oct 31, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Missouri 1631 vs Texas 1689 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Missouri +11.2, Texas +7.2.
- Model alone: Missouri 39% / Texas 61%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Missouri 39% / Texas 61%. Market (vig removed): Missouri 39% / Texas 61%.
- Spread: Missouri +3.5 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Missouri Rooting Guide: The Games Tigers Fans Need to Watch to Strengthen Their College Football Playoff Push
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.