Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Tennessee (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -0.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Kentucky best odds | Tennessee best odds | Model (Tennessee) | Market (Tennessee) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +176 | -198 | 66% | 65% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Tennessee-Kentucky Football Game Initial Score Prediction Week 10 · Yahoo Sports, Oct 28, 2026
Tennessee vs. Kentucky Kickoff Time Set for Homecoming · Sports Illustrated, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Tennessee 1639 vs Kentucky 1591 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Tennessee +7.5, Kentucky +6.8.
- Model alone: Tennessee 66% / Kentucky 34%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Tennessee 66% / Kentucky 34%. Market (vig removed): Tennessee 65% / Kentucky 35%.
- Spread: Tennessee -5.5 · Total 50.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Tennessee Set to Face Kentucky in Primetime Clash After Bye Week
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.