Model value
BaylorLikelier to win
55%
Model estimate
55%Market implied
KansasUnderdog pick
45%
Model estimate
45%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at+118BetRiversThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 45%
MarketAt lock: 45%
Model pick: Kansas (Underdog). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.9%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Saved Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
Baylor 24 - Kansas 25
Units
+1.18u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
+7.8%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +1.18u is +$11.80 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at +118 (BetRivers), model 45%, market 45%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 5): market-implied 49.5% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.