Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Texas Tech (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.0%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Arizona best odds | Texas Tech best odds | Model (Texas Tech) | Market (Texas Tech) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +155 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Arizona Football Opens as Small Underdog at Texas Tech · Arizona Desert Swarm, Oct 25, 2026
How Big 12 Could Get Multiple Teams in College Football Playoff · Yahoo Sports, Oct 22, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Texas Tech 1653 vs Arizona 1656 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Texas Tech +18.0, Arizona +23.5.
- Model estimate: Texas Tech 63% / Arizona 37%. Market (vig removed): Texas Tech 62% / Arizona 38%.
- Spread: Texas Tech -3.5 · Total 54.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Point Spread, Over/under for Arizona vs. Texas Tech on Halloween
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.