Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: UCF (Toss-up). At the current price the estimated value is -0.7%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Baylor best odds | UCF best odds | Model (UCF) | Market (UCF) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +114 | -125 | 55% | 54% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
FB Continues Road Swing at UCF on Friday Night · BaylorBears.com, Oct 25, 2026
How to Watch BYU vs UCF: Live Stream College Football, TV Channel · Yahoo Sports, Oct 24, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UCF 1485 vs Baylor 1515 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UCF -2.0, Baylor +8.5.
- Model estimate: UCF 55% / Baylor 45%. Market (vig removed): UCF 54% / Baylor 46%.
- Spread: UCF -2.5 · Total 47.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Four Big 12 Games to Watch on Saturday Before and After Baylor Takes on Kansas
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.