Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: TCU (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +0.9%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Kansas best odds | TCU best odds | Model (TCU) | Market (TCU) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +185 | -194 | 67% | 65% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +185 | -194 | 67% | 65% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +185 | -194 | 66% | 65% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +185 | -194 | 66% | 65% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +185 | -194 | 66% | 65% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +190 | -194 | 67% | 65% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Watch Kansas vs TCU Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9 · FOX One, Oct 21, 2026
Kickoff Time, TV Announced for TCU Football’s Halloween Showdown with Kansas · Fort Worth Star-Telegram, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: TCU 1529 vs Kansas 1444 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: TCU -2.0, Kansas +7.0.
- Model estimate: TCU 67% / Kansas 33%. Market (vig removed): TCU 65% / Kansas 35%.
- Spread: TCU -5.5 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- BYU, Houston, K-State, TCU and Texas Tech Earn Monster Energy Big 12 Football Week Seven Awards
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.