Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Colorado (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -0.4%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Kansas State best odds | Colorado best odds | Model (Colorado) | Market (Colorado) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -128 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -128 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -128 | +110 | 46% | 46% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -128 | +114 | 46% | 46% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -128 | +120 | 46% | 45% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -132 | +120 | 45% | 45% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Kansas State Football Unveils Game Time, TV for Week 8 Game at Colorado · The Topeka Capital-Journal, Oct 19, 2026
Halloween Contest at Colorado Set for Afternoon Kick · Kansas State University Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Colorado 1361 vs Kansas State 1522 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Colorado -17.0, Kansas State -6.0.
- Model estimate: Colorado 45% / Kansas State 55%. Market (vig removed): Colorado 45% / Kansas State 55%.
- Spread: Colorado +2.5 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Kansas State Football Unveils Game Time, TV for Week 8 Game at Colorado
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.