Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Oklahoma State (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.7%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Oklahoma State best odds | Iowa State best odds | Model (Iowa State) | Market (Iowa State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -375 | +330 | 23% | 24% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
ISU-Oklahoma State to Kick Off at 6 P.m. · Iowa State Athletics, Oct 19, 2026
Oklahoma State Football Bowl Projections 2026: Where Are Cowboys Entering Week 8? · Yahoo Sports, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Iowa State 1507 vs Oklahoma State 1476 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Iowa State -15.2, Oklahoma State +15.2.
- Model estimate: Iowa State 23% / Oklahoma State 77%. Market (vig removed): Iowa State 24% / Oklahoma State 76%.
- Spread: Iowa State +10 · Total 57.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Iowa State Football Gets Favorable Start Time Against Oklahoma State
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.