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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Utah at Cincinnati

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Model value

UtahLikelier to win
69%
Model estimate
69%Market implied
CincinnatiUnderdog pick
31%
Model estimate
31%Market implied

The pick

Live odds+215FanDuel

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 31%
MarketNow: 31%

Model pick: Cincinnati (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -2.9%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedUtah best oddsCincinnati best oddsModel (Cincinnati)Market (Cincinnati)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET-250+21531%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET-250+21531%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET-250+21531%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET-250+21531%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET-250+21531%31%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET-250+21531%31%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Cincinnati 1540 vs Utah 1712 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Cincinnati -3.0, Utah +10.5.
  • Model estimate: Cincinnati 31% / Utah 69%. Market (vig removed): Cincinnati 31% / Utah 69%.
  • Spread: Cincinnati +6.5 · Total 57.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Here's When Cincinnati Bearcats, Utah Utes Kick Off on Halloween
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.