Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Utah (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -0.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | BYU best odds | Utah best odds | Model (Utah) | Market (Utah) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +160 | -175 | 63% | 62% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Utah-BYU Gets Stunning Kickoff Time for Holy War. Fans Aren’t Happy · USA Today, Oct 27, 2026
Utah Football Surges, BYU Stumbles in Latest AP Top 25 · The Salt Lake Tribune, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Utah 1735 vs BYU 1673 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Utah +13.0, BYU +4.2.
- Model alone: Utah 72% / BYU 28%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Utah 63% / BYU 37%. Market (vig removed): Utah 62% / BYU 38%.
- Spread: Utah -4.5 · Total 48.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Utah Football Projected to Face Holy War Rematch with BYU in Playoff
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.