Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Kansas (Toss-up). At the current price the estimated value is -2.7%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | UCF best odds | Kansas best odds | Model (Kansas) | Market (Kansas) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +104 | -126 | 54% | 53% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
UCF Opponent Review: Inside the Baylor Loss That Was the Last Straw for Dave Aranda · Sports Illustrated, Oct 27, 2026
Baylor 41-9 UCF (Oct 30, 2026) Game Recap · ESPN, Oct 31, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Kansas 1432 vs UCF 1443 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Kansas -8.2, UCF -12.0.
- Model alone: Kansas 62% / UCF 38%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Kansas 54% / UCF 46%. Market (vig removed): Kansas 53% / UCF 47%.
- Watch Kansas vs TCU Live: Streaming, TV Channel & Start Time - Oct 31, 2026 | CFB Week 9
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.