Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Houston (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Cincinnati best odds | Houston best odds | Model (Houston) | Market (Houston) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +330 | -430 | 80% | 78% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Bearcats Taken Down by No. 6 Utah, 49-25 · University of Cincinnati Athletics, Nov 1, 2026
Utah Utes Should Be on Upset Watch Against Cincinnati Bearcats · Yahoo Sports, Oct 28, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Houston 1610 vs Cincinnati 1516 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: Houston has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Houston +6.0, Cincinnati -10.2.
- Model alone: Houston 79% / Cincinnati 21%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Houston 80% / Cincinnati 20%. Market (vig removed): Houston 78% / Cincinnati 22%.
- Can Cincinnati Bearcats Football Win in November?
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.