Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Arizona State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.9%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Colorado best odds | Arizona State best odds | Model (Arizona State) | Market (Arizona State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +142 | -170 | 62% | 60% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Colorado vs. Arizona State Kickoff Announcement Puts Buffaloes Back on National TV · Yahoo Sports, Oct 26, 2026
Colorado Football: Kickoff Time for Nov. 7 at Arizona State Set · On3, Oct 26, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Arizona State 1507 vs Colorado 1382 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Arizona State -1.5, Colorado -13.8.
- Model alone: Arizona State 77% / Colorado 23%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Arizona State 62% / Colorado 38%. Market (vig removed): Arizona State 60% / Colorado 40%.
- Is Kansas State Cooked Without Avery Johnson? Colorado May Tell Us
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.