Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Oklahoma State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -4.3%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Oklahoma State best odds | Kansas State best odds | Model (Kansas State) | Market (Kansas State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -200 | +164 | 36% | 36% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Kick Time, TV for Oklahoma State Game to Be Announced Sunday · Kansas State University Athletics, Oct 26, 2026
Kansas State Football Unveils Game Time, TV for Week 10 vs Oklahoma State · The Topeka Capital-Journal, Nov 1, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Kansas State 1501 vs Oklahoma State 1467 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Kansas State -5.5, Oklahoma State +10.5.
- Model alone: Kansas State 56% / Oklahoma State 44%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Kansas State 36% / Oklahoma State 64%. Market (vig removed): Kansas State 36% / Oklahoma State 64%.
- Oklahoma State-Kansas State Game Time, TV Gets Six-Day Designation
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.