Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Arizona (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is +1.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | TCU best odds | Arizona best odds | Model (Arizona) | Market (Arizona) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +275 | -285 | 75% | 73% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
TCU vs. Arizona (7 Nov, 2026) Live Score · ESPN, Oct 31, 2026
Kansas Jayhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs Highlights | FOX College Football · FOX Sports, Oct 31, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Arizona 1636 vs TCU 1541 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Arizona +19.0, TCU +1.5.
- Model alone: Arizona 75% / TCU 25%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Arizona 75% / TCU 25%. Market (vig removed): Arizona 73% / TCU 27%.
- Spread: Arizona -8.5 · Total 44.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- November 6, 2026: Arizona vs TCU: Second Half College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.