Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: BYU (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.8%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -275 (BetOnline.ag), model 73%, market 71%.
| Saved | Baylor best odds | BYU best odds | Model (BYU) | Market (BYU) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +202 | -218 | 68% | 67% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +220 | -255 | 71% | 69% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +255 | -285 | 73% | 72% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +260 | -285 | 73% | 72% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +260 | -285 | 74% | 72% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +250 | -265 | 73% | 71% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +245 | -265 | 73% | 71% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +245 | -265 | 73% | 71% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +240 | -275 | 73% | 71% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +240 | -275 | 73% | 71% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
BYU Football Game Week 2026 — Baylor · BYU Athletics, Nov 9, 2026
Prediction for Baylor at No. 10 BYU: Opportunity for Bears to Punctuate Turnaround · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: BYU 1657 vs Baylor 1576 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: BYU -1.2, Baylor +7.8.
- Model alone: BYU 62% / Baylor 38%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): BYU 73% / Baylor 27%. Market (vig removed): BYU 71% / Baylor 29%.
- Spread: BYU -7.5 · Total 49.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- TV Info, Kickoff Time Revealed for BYU’s Home Game Against Baylor
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.