Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: West Virginia (Toss-up). At the locked price the estimated value is -1.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -140 (BetUS), model 58%, market 57%.
| Saved | Kansas best odds | West Virginia best odds | Model (West Virginia) | Market (West Virginia) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +134 | -160 | 60% | 59% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +114 | -130 | 55% | 55% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +130 | -135 | 57% | 56% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +122 | -142 | 57% | 56% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +122 | -140 | 57% | 56% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +125 | -134 | 57% | 56% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +128 | -140 | 58% | 57% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +128 | -140 | 58% | 57% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +125 | -140 | 58% | 57% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +125 | -140 | 58% | 57% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Kansas Game to Be Televised on ESPNU at 5:30 P.m., ET · West Virginia University Athletics, Nov 8, 2026
Kansas Jayhawks Football Learns Kickoff Time for West Virginia Matchup as Jayhawks Prepare for Road Test · Yahoo Sports, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: West Virginia 1465 vs Kansas 1423 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: West Virginia -4.8, Kansas -4.2.
- Model alone: West Virginia 65% / Kansas 35%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): West Virginia 58% / Kansas 42%. Market (vig removed): West Virginia 57% / Kansas 43%.
- Spread: West Virginia -3 · Total 67.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Jayhawks Head to Morgantown to Take on Mountaineers - University of Kansas
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.